As heat records fall, how hot is too hot for the human body?

Extreme heat has been breaking records across Europe, Asia and North America, with millions of people sweltering in heat and humidity well above “normal” for days on end.

Death Valley hit a temperature of 128 degrees Fahrenheit (53.3 degrees Celsius) on July 16, 2023 – not quite the world’s hottest day on record, but close. Phoenix broke a record heat streak with 19 straight days with temperatures above 110 F (43.3 C), and had more in the forecast, accompanied by several nights that never got below 90 F (32.2 C). Globally, Earth likely had its hottest week on modern record in early July.

Heat waves are becoming supercharged as the climate changes – lasting longer, becoming more frequent and getting just plain hotter.

One question a lot of people are asking is: “When will it get too hot for normal daily activity as we know it, even for young, healthy adults?”



The answer goes beyond the temperature you see on the thermometer. It’s also about humidity. Our research is designed to come up with the combination of the two, measured as “wet-bulb temperature.” Together, heat and humidity put people at greatly increased risk, and the combination gets dangerous at lower levels than scientists previously believed.


file-20230719-15-92axgr.jpg

Long-term exposure to high heat can become lethal. Mark Wilson/Getty Images



The limits of human adaptability​

Scientists and other observers have become alarmed about the increasing frequency of extreme heat paired with high humidity.

People often point to a study published in 2010 that theorized that a wet-bulb temperature of 95 F (35 C) – equal to a temperature of 95 F at 100% humidity, or 115 F at 50% humidity – would be the upper limit of safety, beyond which the human body can no longer cool itself by evaporating sweat from the surface of the body to maintain a stable body core temperature.

It was not until recently that this limit was tested on humans in laboratory settings. The results of these tests show an even greater cause for concern.

The PSU H.E.A.T. Project​

To answer the question of “how hot is too hot?” we brought young, healthy men and women into the Noll Laboratory at Penn State University to experience heat stress in a controlled environmental chamber.

These experiments provide insight into which combinations of temperature and humidity begin to become harmful for even the healthiest humans.


file-20220624-17-za2vp8.jpg

S. Tony Wolf, a postdoctoral researcher in kinesiology at Penn State and coauthor of this article, conducts a heat test in the Noll Laboratory as part of the PSU Human Environmental Age Thresholds project. Patrick Mansell/Penn State, CC BY-NC-ND



Each participant swallowed a small telemetry pill that continuously monitored their deep body or core temperature. They then sat in an environmental chamber, moving just enough to simulate the minimal activities of daily living, such as showering, cooking and eating. Researchers slowly increased either the temperature in the chamber or the humidity in hundreds of separate experiments and monitored when the subject’s core temperature started to rise.

That combination of temperature and humidity at which the person’s core temperature starts to continuously rise is called the “critical environmental limit.”

Below those limits, the body is able to maintain a relatively stable core temperature over long periods of time. Above those limits, core temperature rises continuously and the risk of heat-related illnesses with prolonged exposures is increased.

When the body overheats, the heart has to work harder to pump blood flow to the skin to dissipate the heat, and when you’re also sweating, that decreases body fluids. In the direst case, prolonged exposure can result in heat stroke, a life-threatening problem that requires immediate and rapid cooling and medical treatment.



Our studies on young healthy men and women show that this upper environmental limit is even lower than the theorized 35 C. It occurs at a wet-bulb temperature of about 87 F (31 C) across a range of environments above 50% relative humidity. That would equal 87 F at 100% humidity or 100 F (38 C) at 60% humidity.


file-20220624-14-jt7lbq.png

Similar to the National Weather Service’s heat index chart, this chart translates combinations of air temperature and relative humidity into critical environmental limits, above which core body temperature rises. The border between the yellow and red areas represents the average critical environmental limit for young men and women at minimal activity. W. Larry Kenney, CC BY-ND



Dry vs. humid environments​

Current heat waves around the globe are exceeding those critical environmental limits, and approaching, if not exceeding, even the theorized 95 F (35 C) wet-bulb limits.

In the Middle East, Asaluyeh, Iran, recorded an extremely dangerous maximum wet-bulb temperature of 92.7 F (33.7 C) on July 16, 2023. India and Pakistan have both reached hazardous levels in recent years, as well.

In hot, dry environments, the critical environmental limits aren’t defined by wet-bulb temperatures, because almost all the sweat the body produces evaporates, which cools the body. However, the amount humans can sweat is limited, and we also gain more heat from the higher air temperatures.

Keep in mind that these cutoffs are based solely on keeping your body temperature from rising excessively. Even lower temperatures and humidity can place stress on the heart and other body systems.

A recent paper from our laboratory showed that heart rate begins to increase well before our core temperature does, as we pump blood to the skin. And while eclipsing these limits does not necessarily present a worst-case scenario, prolonged exposure may become dire for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic diseases.

Our experimental focus has now turned to testing older men and women, since even healthy aging makes people less heat-tolerant. The increased prevalence of heart disease, respiratory problems and other health problems, as well as certain medications, can put them at even higher risk of harm. People over the age of 65 comprise some 80% to 90% of heat wave casualties.



How to stay safe​

Staying well hydrated and seeking areas in which to cool down – even for short periods – are important in high heat.

While more cities in the United States are expanding cooling centers to help people escape the heat, there will still be many people who will experience these dangerous conditions with no way to cool themselves.


The lead author of this article, W. Larry Kenney, discusses the impact of heat stress on human health with PBS NewsHour.

Even those with access to air conditioning might not turn it on because of the high cost of energy – a common occurrence in Phoenix – or because of large-scale power outages during heat waves or wildfires, as is becoming more common in the western U.S.

All told, the evidence continues to mount that climate change is not just a problem for the future. It is one that humanity is currently facing and must tackle head-on.

This article was first published on The Conversation, and was written by W. Larry Kenney, Professor of Physiology, Kinesiology and Human Performance, Penn State, Daniel Vecellio, Geographer-climatologist and Postdoctoral Fellow, Penn State, Rachel Cottle, Ph.D. Candidate in Exercise Physiology, Penn State, S. Tony Wolf, Postdoctoral Researcher in Kinesiology, Penn State

 
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I'm a country girl born and bred. Wingham is a very hot little town and I lived there for the first 15 years of my life. Our classrooms were uninsulated weatherboard buildings with no air conditioning, not even a fan. We coped, and not only did we cope with those conditions, many of us thrived.

For the summer term of 1955, I was given the job of checking the temperature every day at midday. I remember it so well because I remember the classroom and the teacher. The thermometer was in the staffroom. Almost every day, the temperature was over 100° in February and March. Towards the end of that year, I remember thinking on one day how hot it was and wishing I could go home. One day in 12 years at school.

We went home to little fibro or weatherboard homes. I knew nobody with domestic air conditioning. My Dad was a teacher, so we had all school holidays in Coffs Harbour where both my parents were born and bred. At the start of the Christmas holidays, all five of us would pile into our FX Holden and head north, windows down and hands and sometimes heads stuck out of the windows looking for a bit of cool air.

My point is, we survived. Surviving the heat requires nothing more than a bit of common sense, something sadly lacking in today's world. I'm tired of reading sensationalist articles prophesying the imminent decline of the planet. I make it my business to read BOTH sides of the debate and things are nowhere near as cut and dried as the mainstream media would have us believe. Judith Curry and Ian Plimer are two Australians who've studied the history of temperature change extensively. Judith Curry is a scientist and Ian Plimer is a geologist. Both are world renowned.

In essence, this cycle has happened before and will happen again. The human influence is minimal. In my view, it's arrogant to believe that mere humans are superior to nature.
 
I have personally met Ian Plimer. One very smart cookie.

Before our meeting, we used to battle with the likes of Kim Dabelstein Petersen in the IMDB forum on Al Gore's "An Inconvenient Truth". His username was Doctor Rock. Mine was well....Veggiepatch. Kim Dabelstein Petersen was a disgraced editor of Wikipedia who used to tamper with articles that questioned the validity of global warming/climate change. He even used another username "Neal J. King" with whom he set up fake conversations with. In other words, he was talking to himself!

After noticing the uncanny similar in syntax between the usernames, I pulled KDP up on this. He admitted he was both "people". What a goose!
 
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"Surviving the heat requires nothing more than a bit of common sense, something sadly lacking in today's world. I'm tired of reading sensationalist articles prophesying the imminent decline of the planet."

Ian Plimer is not a physiologist. I have never heard of Judith Curry. I too am a scientist. Geologists may care to inform us all that back in the Cretaceous things were 10 degree C hotter or something, or in the Pliocene a mere 5 degrees hotter, but the key issue is that we keep cool by sweating and if that sweat can't evaporate to cool us, particularly when exerting ourselves in temperatures of 35-45 degrees C we get horribly crook. That is where the humidity is terribly important. I've done my stuff in the tropics without aircon and also in the Queensland bush when temperatures were in their low-mid 40s, and we had to work between 4am and 1pm to keep going. After that we'd sit under a tree and swat flies. That was in the dry season. As for Anthropogenic Global Warming, Ian Plimer's ideas are delightfully quaint but not overly useful.
 
"Surviving the heat requires nothing more than a bit of common sense, something sadly lacking in today's world. I'm tired of reading sensationalist articles prophesying the imminent decline of the planet."

Ian Plimer is not a physiologist. I have never heard of Judith Curry. I too am a scientist. Geologists may care to inform us all that back in the Cretaceous things were 10 degree C hotter or something, or in the Pliocene a mere 5 degrees hotter, but the key issue is that we keep cool by sweating and if that sweat can't evaporate to cool us, particularly when exerting ourselves in temperatures of 35-45 degrees C we get horribly crook. That is where the humidity is terribly important. I've done my stuff in the tropics without aircon and also in the Queensland bush when temperatures were in their low-mid 40s, and we had to work between 4am and 1pm to keep going. After that we'd sit under a tree and swat flies. That was in the dry season. As for Anthropogenic Global Warming, Ian Plimer's ideas are delightfully quaint but not overly useful.

I'm scratching my head at correlation between physiology and Ian Plimer....

Physiology is the study of how the human body functions, physically, but not psychologically, whereas geology is the study of earth science, its formation, structure and composition, as well as physical processes such as volcanology and plate tectonics.

I'm glad I cut my fingernails yesterday, otherwise I'd have a bleeding scalp.
 
I have personally met Ian Plimer. One very smart cookie.

Before our meeting, we used to battle with the likes of Kim Dabelstein Petersen in the IMDB forum on Al Gore's "An Inconvenient Truth". His username was Doctor Rock. Mine was well....Veggiepatch. Kim Dabelstein Petersen was a disgraced editor of Wikipedia who used to tamper with articles that questioned the validity of global warming/climate change. He even used another username "Neal J. King" with whom he set up fake conversations with. In other words, he was talking to himself!

After noticing the uncanny similar in syntax between the usernames, I pulled KDP up on this. He admitted he was both "people". What a goose!

Thanks for your reply. Nice to know I'm not alone in my views.

Ian Plimer has always struck me as eminently down to earth and sensible. You'd need to be to hold your own against those clowns.
 
I'm a country girl born and bred. Wingham is a very hot little town and I lived there for the first 15 years of my life. Our classrooms were uninsulated weatherboard buildings with no air conditioning, not even a fan. We coped, and not only did we cope with those conditions, many of us thrived.

For the summer term of 1955, I was given the job of checking the temperature every day at midday. I remember it so well because I remember the classroom and the teacher. The thermometer was in the staffroom. Almost every day, the temperature was over 100° in February and March. Towards the end of that year, I remember thinking on one day how hot it was and wishing I could go home. One day in 12 years at school.

We went home to little fibro or weatherboard homes. I knew nobody with domestic air conditioning. My Dad was a teacher, so we had all school holidays in Coffs Harbour where both my parents were born and bred. At the start of the Christmas holidays, all five of us would pile into our FX Holden and head north, windows down and hands and sometimes heads stuck out of the windows looking for a bit of cool air.

My point is, we survived. Surviving the heat requires nothing more than a bit of common sense, something sadly lacking in today's world. I'm tired of reading sensationalist articles prophesying the imminent decline of the planet. I make it my business to read BOTH sides of the debate and things are nowhere near as cut and dried as the mainstream media would have us believe. Judith Curry and Ian Plimer are two Australians who've studied the history of temperature change extensively. Judith Curry is a scientist and Ian Plimer is a geologist. Both are world renowned.

In essence, this cycle has happened before and will happen again. The human influence is minimal. In my view, it's arrogant to believe that mere humans are superior to nature.
Yes you are right - they go on and on about it ( brainwashing) and ignore the fact that most of us know and accept it is normal. BOM tried to wipe out higher temps from late 1800's to say our temps today are higher - what they now call a heat wave is laughable. I come from SW QLD where 45 deg was very common - the last time I was out there for a funeral it was 45 deg at 11am at the cemetery and none of us dropped dead. Yes commonsense - now you and I and thousands of others know this commodity is very scarce these days in Australia - most live in cities and large towns with miles of tar seal and concrete which increases heat - so they can't live without air con. I live in the bush in CQ - we do not have air con - we have very hot days at times so we work outside early in the day, come in and go out again after 4 pm until just before dark - we are in our 70's , keep hydrated and sit and cool off when we get too hot. Our temp ranges from 36 - 43 most summers - I keep our blinds 90% closed until around 4pm then open up and start the ceiling fans - we are insulated and have 2 solar extraction fans - all you need is a bit of commonsense and thought. McKeller must be turning in her grave.
 
Yes you are right - they go on and on about it ( brainwashing) and ignore the fact that most of us know and accept it is normal. BOM tried to wipe out higher temps from late 1800's to say our temps today are higher - what they now call a heat wave is laughable. I come from SW QLD where 45 deg was very common - the last time I was out there for a funeral it was 45 deg at 11am at the cemetery and none of us dropped dead. Yes commonsense - now you and I and thousands of others know this commodity is very scarce these days in Australia - most live in cities and large towns with miles of tar seal and concrete which increases heat - so they can't live without air con. I live in the bush in CQ - we do not have air con - we have very hot days at times so we work outside early in the day, come in and go out again after 4 pm until just before dark - we are in our 70's , keep hydrated and sit and cool off when we get too hot. Our temp ranges from 36 - 43 most summers - I keep our blinds 90% closed until around 4pm then open up and start the ceiling fans - we are insulated and have 2 solar extraction fans - all you need is a bit of commonsense and thought. McKeller must be turning in her grave.
Great post!

It is known as the Urban Heat Island effect. I've been studying climate change/global warming informally from a scientific viewpoint for almost 20 years. Emotion plays no part whatsoever.
 
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I'm scratching my head at correlation between physiology and Ian Plimer....

Physiology is the study of how the human body functions, physically, but not psychologically, whereas geology is the study of earth science, its formation, structure and composition, as well as physical processes such as volcanology and plate tectonics.

I'm glad I cut my fingernails yesterday, otherwise I'd have a bleeding scalp.
Dunno where the correlation between Ian Plimer and physiology comes form; I never made it. Yes, he's a geologist as are many others and as with many other geologists, particularly those in industry, he has quaint ideas about Anthropogenic Global Warming. I'll leave you to the notion that the test of the pudding is the response by modern day icecaps and by the frozen water reservoirs in the Himalayas and Andes and Rockies. Stay cool; it's good for your health.
 
Extreme heat has been breaking records across Europe, Asia and North America, with millions of people sweltering in heat and humidity well above “normal” for days on end.

Death Valley hit a temperature of 128 degrees Fahrenheit (53.3 degrees Celsius) on July 16, 2023 – not quite the world’s hottest day on record, but close. Phoenix broke a record heat streak with 19 straight days with temperatures above 110 F (43.3 C), and had more in the forecast, accompanied by several nights that never got below 90 F (32.2 C). Globally, Earth likely had its hottest week on modern record in early July.

Heat waves are becoming supercharged as the climate changes – lasting longer, becoming more frequent and getting just plain hotter.

One question a lot of people are asking is: “When will it get too hot for normal daily activity as we know it, even for young, healthy adults?”



The answer goes beyond the temperature you see on the thermometer. It’s also about humidity. Our research is designed to come up with the combination of the two, measured as “wet-bulb temperature.” Together, heat and humidity put people at greatly increased risk, and the combination gets dangerous at lower levels than scientists previously believed.


file-20230719-15-92axgr.jpg

Long-term exposure to high heat can become lethal. Mark Wilson/Getty Images



The limits of human adaptability​

Scientists and other observers have become alarmed about the increasing frequency of extreme heat paired with high humidity.

People often point to a study published in 2010 that theorized that a wet-bulb temperature of 95 F (35 C) – equal to a temperature of 95 F at 100% humidity, or 115 F at 50% humidity – would be the upper limit of safety, beyond which the human body can no longer cool itself by evaporating sweat from the surface of the body to maintain a stable body core temperature.

It was not until recently that this limit was tested on humans in laboratory settings. The results of these tests show an even greater cause for concern.

The PSU H.E.A.T. Project​

To answer the question of “how hot is too hot?” we brought young, healthy men and women into the Noll Laboratory at Penn State University to experience heat stress in a controlled environmental chamber.

These experiments provide insight into which combinations of temperature and humidity begin to become harmful for even the healthiest humans.


file-20220624-17-za2vp8.jpg

S. Tony Wolf, a postdoctoral researcher in kinesiology at Penn State and coauthor of this article, conducts a heat test in the Noll Laboratory as part of the PSU Human Environmental Age Thresholds project. Patrick Mansell/Penn State, CC BY-NC-ND



Each participant swallowed a small telemetry pill that continuously monitored their deep body or core temperature. They then sat in an environmental chamber, moving just enough to simulate the minimal activities of daily living, such as showering, cooking and eating. Researchers slowly increased either the temperature in the chamber or the humidity in hundreds of separate experiments and monitored when the subject’s core temperature started to rise.

That combination of temperature and humidity at which the person’s core temperature starts to continuously rise is called the “critical environmental limit.”

Below those limits, the body is able to maintain a relatively stable core temperature over long periods of time. Above those limits, core temperature rises continuously and the risk of heat-related illnesses with prolonged exposures is increased.

When the body overheats, the heart has to work harder to pump blood flow to the skin to dissipate the heat, and when you’re also sweating, that decreases body fluids. In the direst case, prolonged exposure can result in heat stroke, a life-threatening problem that requires immediate and rapid cooling and medical treatment.



Our studies on young healthy men and women show that this upper environmental limit is even lower than the theorized 35 C. It occurs at a wet-bulb temperature of about 87 F (31 C) across a range of environments above 50% relative humidity. That would equal 87 F at 100% humidity or 100 F (38 C) at 60% humidity.


file-20220624-14-jt7lbq.png

Similar to the National Weather Service’s heat index chart, this chart translates combinations of air temperature and relative humidity into critical environmental limits, above which core body temperature rises. The border between the yellow and red areas represents the average critical environmental limit for young men and women at minimal activity. W. Larry Kenney, CC BY-ND



Dry vs. humid environments​

Current heat waves around the globe are exceeding those critical environmental limits, and approaching, if not exceeding, even the theorized 95 F (35 C) wet-bulb limits.

In the Middle East, Asaluyeh, Iran, recorded an extremely dangerous maximum wet-bulb temperature of 92.7 F (33.7 C) on July 16, 2023. India and Pakistan have both reached hazardous levels in recent years, as well.

In hot, dry environments, the critical environmental limits aren’t defined by wet-bulb temperatures, because almost all the sweat the body produces evaporates, which cools the body. However, the amount humans can sweat is limited, and we also gain more heat from the higher air temperatures.

Keep in mind that these cutoffs are based solely on keeping your body temperature from rising excessively. Even lower temperatures and humidity can place stress on the heart and other body systems.

A recent paper from our laboratory showed that heart rate begins to increase well before our core temperature does, as we pump blood to the skin. And while eclipsing these limits does not necessarily present a worst-case scenario, prolonged exposure may become dire for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic diseases.

Our experimental focus has now turned to testing older men and women, since even healthy aging makes people less heat-tolerant. The increased prevalence of heart disease, respiratory problems and other health problems, as well as certain medications, can put them at even higher risk of harm. People over the age of 65 comprise some 80% to 90% of heat wave casualties.



How to stay safe​

Staying well hydrated and seeking areas in which to cool down – even for short periods – are important in high heat.

While more cities in the United States are expanding cooling centers to help people escape the heat, there will still be many people who will experience these dangerous conditions with no way to cool themselves.


The lead author of this article, W. Larry Kenney, discusses the impact of heat stress on human health with PBS NewsHour.

Even those with access to air conditioning might not turn it on because of the high cost of energy – a common occurrence in Phoenix – or because of large-scale power outages during heat waves or wildfires, as is becoming more common in the western U.S.

All told, the evidence continues to mount that climate change is not just a problem for the future. It is one that humanity is currently facing and must tackle head-on.

This article was first published on The Conversation, and was written by W. Larry Kenney, Professor of Physiology, Kinesiology and Human Performance, Penn State, Daniel Vecellio, Geographer-climatologist and Postdoctoral Fellow, Penn State, Rachel Cottle, Ph.D. Candidate in Exercise Physiology, Penn State, S. Tony Wolf, Postdoctoral Researcher in Kinesiology, Penn State


This is yankee land.
I live in Qld where the temps for summer often go over 40% for a week or so. SO WHAT. Climate change is a rort and please do not tell me any different.
 
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"Surviving the heat requires nothing more than a bit of common sense, something sadly lacking in today's world. I'm tired of reading sensationalist articles prophesying the imminent decline of the planet."

Ian Plimer is not a physiologist. I have never heard of Judith Curry. I too am a scientist. Geologists may care to inform us all that back in the Cretaceous things were 10 degree C hotter or something, or in the Pliocene a mere 5 degrees hotter, but the key issue is that we keep cool by sweating and if that sweat can't evaporate to cool us, particularly when exerting ourselves in temperatures of 35-45 degrees C we get horribly crook. That is where the humidity is terribly important. I've done my stuff in the tropics without aircon and also in the Queensland bush when temperatures were in their low-mid 40s, and we had to work between 4am and 1pm to keep going. After that we'd sit under a tree and swat flies. That was in the dry season. As for Anthropogenic Global Warming, Ian Plimer's ideas are delightfully quaint but not overly useful.
I love it when someone quotes me! It makes me feel all warm and fuzzy.

You lost all credibility with me when you said you've never heard of Judith Curry. What kind of scientist are you? An animal behaviourist perhaps. Anyone even vaguely connected with climate science knows who she is, because, although now retired, she's a strident opponent of anthropogenic climate change. She's been vilified by all the virtue signalling, rent seeking fools such as Al Gore and the Moore idiot whose first name I've happily forgotten. Judith's one of those rare people who can have an opinion, do more research, and realise that her original ideas aren't accurate. Until eight years ago, I swallowed the AGW Koolaid as well. No longer.

I'm equally as qualified as you, if not more so, to discuss the effects of heat on the body. It was part of my job description. Having lived and travelled over most of Australia, it's always been my experience that almost all areas with high summer humidity, rarely get past 35°. Conversely, those areas experiencing 45° temperatures are inland areas where the humidity is low. You can't have it both ways.

In conclusion, the only possible way you can conflate Ian Plimer with physiology, because I certainly didn't, is to believe that he's telling people how they should feel in the heat based on his geological research and expertise. As far as I know, he never has. Your final sentence has me completely baffled. What are Ian Plimer's views on AGW? You adopt a patronising tone to disrespect his views on AGW, but fail to say what they are.
 
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The name Tim Flannery makes my blood boil. And to think he was Australian of the Year. Give the 2024 award to Ned Kelly....posthumously. He can share it equally with another upstanding Australian - Ben "F**cking" Roberts-Smith.
 
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Dunno where the correlation between Ian Plimer and physiology comes form; I never made it. Yes, he's a geologist as are many others and as with many other geologists, particularly those in industry, he has quaint ideas about Anthropogenic Global Warming. I'll leave you to the notion that the test of the pudding is the response by modern day icecaps and by the frozen water reservoirs in the Himalayas and Andes and Rockies. Stay cool; it's good for your health.
Well, you did. Check your reply to me. You quoted me, and then you informed us Ian Plimer is not a physiologist. Please point out to me where I said he is.
 
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The name Tim Flannery makes my blood boil. And to think he was Australian of the Year. Give the 2024 award to Ned Kelly....posthumously. He can share it equally with another upstanding Australian - Ben "F**cking" Roberts-Smith.
Ah, Flim Flam Flannery! The gift that keeps on giving! 🤣🤣
 
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I often think about our sportsmen and women who play tennis, cricket, athletics etc. in the heat. School children sitting in a room, maybe often under the shade of a tree are being coddled these days. Many in the past had to walk home, no second car for mum's taxi.
 
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