Rising interest rates force thousands of Aussie families to scale back this Christmas

The festive season, typically a time of joy, is also known to be the busiest shopping period of the year. Retailers usually look forward to this time of the year to rake in profits.

Unfortunately, it might be a bit of a squeeze for many Australian families this year as increasing cost-of-living pressures and even the possibility of additional hikes in interest rates might put a significant strain on their holiday budget.


In response to the budget-conscious attitude developing among consumers, many businesses have started offering attractive discounts early on leading up to the Black Friday sales, hoping to lure in thrifty shoppers seeking Christmas deals.

Paul Zahra, the former boss of David Jones, who now leads the Australian Retailers Association (ARA), has noted a shift in shopping behaviours due to the ongoing financial crunch.


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A shift in the shopping behaviour of Aussies has been observed due to the ongoing financial crisis. Image source: Freepik.


'What we're finding is that consumers [have become] a very much budget-conscious consumer, driven by value,' he said.

He also added that 'consumers still want the joy of Christmas, of course, but they're shopping on a budget'.

Unfortunately, household budgets are being stretched as we head into the Christmas season, with groceries, fuel and electricity prices at near-peak levels.


Data analysis from the ARA and research partner Roy Morgan predict that the spending between early November and Christmas Eve will hit a total of around $66.8 billion. Billions more are predicted to be spent during the Boxing Day sales period.

However, this number remains pretty much the same as last year, adjusted for population growth (which is up by 2 per cent) and high inflation, which the RBA forecasts will stand at 4.5 per cent by year-end.

Furthermore, the ARA's predictions indicated an increase in spending on food, books, and cosmetics leading up to Christmas.

However, Australians are likely to cut back on household goods, hospitality, and clothing.

Westpac data reveals that over 70 per cent of Aussies plan to reduce their spending during the festive season compared to last year.

The average budget per individual is expected to be around $863 for the entire festive season, excluding gift cards and loyalty programs. This cost covers everything likely to be purchased, including food, decorations, events and presents.


'For small business owners, if they don't succeed through Christmas, they won't have enough cash to sustain them through the winter months...it's a really important, crucial time for trading,' Mr Zahra said.

Businesses without an online presence will also feel the pinch, as 32 per cent are predicted to purchase their Black Friday items and order most of their necessities online.

Zahra also warned that another interest rate hike this December could have a severely detrimental impact on the retail sector. In anticipation of such a move, retailers are starting their sales early, aiming to minimise the potential blow.

'Retailers are trying to pull the money out of the market as quickly as possible because they don't know what December is going to look like...they are beholden to the RBA decision,' he explained.

'Retailers are doing it very, very tough. While there's a cost-of-living crisis, there's also a cost of doing business crisis...we've got very subdued discretionary spend.'

According to newly released figures, softened household spending growth is becoming more prevalent, reflecting the ongoing squeeze on the cost of living.


As the pressure to find the perfect present builds up, one savvy shopper named Alice Zhao has shared her secrets to getting the best bargains and making your Christmas budget stretch further.

The Sydney-based mother of two young boys has been using ShopBack, a cashback and rewards platform, to get money back on her spending for the past six months.

She's found it particularly useful for retail goods and travel purchases. In just half a year, she's collected about $2,000 in cash back, with the majority coming from travel bookings.

She also emphasised the importance of planning and preparation. She creates a Christmas wish list well in advance, ready to pounce when a good deal comes along.

You can read more about Alice’s tips here.
Key Takeaways
  • Retailers are expected to face disappointment this festive season due to pressures from costs of living and a possible interest rate rise affecting Christmas spending by Australian families.
  • According to a survey by Westpac, over 70 per cent of Australians are planning to reduce their spending this Christmas compared to the previous year. The average budget per person for the holiday season is expected to be around $863, excluding gift cards and loyalty points.
  • The Australian Retailers Association and research partner Roy Morgan predict that shoppers will spend $66.8 billion between the start of November and Christmas Eve, similar to the 2022 festive season. However, this spending habit remains constant due to the 2 per cent population surge and high inflation.
  • Paul Zahra, former boss of David Jones and current head of the Australian Retailers Association, warned that another rate hike in December could be detrimental to the retail sector.
  • Retailers have reportedly started offering significant discounts ahead of Black Friday sales to attract budget-conscious shoppers and to mitigate the potential impact.
Members, have you started budgeting for the upcoming festive season? Let us know which items you plan on spending the most (and least!) on this coming Christmas!
 
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It makes me sad seeing so many people struggling and feeling they need to go into further debt so they can give presents.
At a time that is supposed to celebrate the birth of Jesus , maybe people should change what they do at this time of year.
Do you think Jesus would want people suffering this stress.

As years go by gifts are getting more and more bigger .
Maybe people should go back to how it used to be .

Enjoy the family get together where everyone brings a plate .

Remember when presents were dolls and cars where as now it's play station consoles ect .

Gifts are now so much more extravagant.

It's not a time to celebrate the birth of Jesus but rather a time for retail stores to celebrate the large dollars they are making.

I no longer celebrate Xmas for many reasons.

1. I realised the true meaning for Xmas is so stores can get richer .

2. I give thanks for the birth of Jesus every day and to be honest December is the month he was born . No one knows exactly but it is around April / May.

3. How many parents say to their kids behave or Santa won't come. Yet they continue to be naughty and still get gifts.
I buy gifts throughout the year and give them to my grandkids because they have been behaved or have done something good.

I used to celebrate Xmas big until I saw the number of suicide or attempted suicide around Xmas and into the new year due to debt or people not dealing with being without a love one around this time of year either being through someone dying or divorce
 
I love Christmas time. The joy on the little ones faces and the big ones too. We celebrate being together as a family. I start my shopping in January and spread it out over the year so I’m not panic buying.
 
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I love Christmas time. The joy on the little ones faces and the big ones too. We celebrate being together as a family. I start my shopping in January and spread it out over the year so I’m not panic buying.
My daughter does that also it's a great idea if money is tight when my wife and I had the 3 children 30 years back I always had a christmas account so that at the 1st of December we had money to do the Christmas shopping
 
Buying Christmas presents throughout the year is fraught with danger - the wishlists come in December - choose cheap or med or expensive, its up to your budget. Better to save during the year and have it ready in December.
 

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