Prices are soaring—here’s what you need to know about your grocery bill in 2025!

As we navigate the ever-turbulent seas of the cost-of-living crisis, many of our members have voiced their concerns about the rising prices of everyday essentials.

With 2025 on the horizon, the question on everyone's lips is: 'What will happen to grocery prices?' We've delved into the matter to clarify and give you tips on managing your grocery bill in these challenging times.

Stay with us as we explore what factors drive these increases and how you can make smart choices to keep your costs in check.


Firstly, let's address the elephant in the room: grocery prices are unlikely to see a significant drop in 2025.

Experts, including retail specialist Gary Mortimer from Queensland University of Technology, have indicated that the cost of a shopping basket will remain high.

‘Despite the inquiries that are going on, we're not going to see food prices fall dramatically,’ he said.


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Grocery prices in Australia are expected to remain high in 2025 due to the ongoing cost of living crisis. Credit: iStock


This is certainly not the news we hoped for, but facing reality head-on is important.

However, it's not all doom and gloom. There is a silver lining that suggests prices may not climb further at the checkout come the New Year.

One of the reasons for this potential price stabilisation is the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission's (ACCC) ongoing probe into the pricing strategies of major supermarkets like ALDI, IGA, Coles, and Woolworths.


The findings of this investigation are set to be revealed in early 2025, which could lead to increased scrutiny of the big firms.

With their reputations on the line, supermarkets might be more inclined to offer discounts and price promotions to win over public opinion.

'I do think supermarkets are very sensitive to public opinion and reputation,' Mortimer said.

'I think we'll probably see stabilisation. I think we'll see long-term discounting, prices locked down, rolled back, whatever they say.'

In the meantime, food prices have risen by 3.3 per cent over the 12 months to the September 2024 quarter, with fruit and vegetables taking a notable hit due to unfavourable growing conditions.


Other products like chocolate and eggs have also seen price increases due to record-high cocoa prices and supply shortages from bird flu concerns.

Mortimer explained that, in addition to stocking up on items when they are on offer, apps like Frugl can help guide shoppers to the best deals.

Regarding other essentials, such as clothing, he suggested that actions taken by Donald Trump in the USA might have short-term benefits for Australians.

This comes despite Treasurer Jim Chalmers's warnings about the potential trade war.

For instance, if Trump imposes tariffs on China, factories there could face a surplus of inventory, potentially leading to discounted prices as China seeks to sell off excess stock.

‘That's going to be really interesting,’ he said.


In other news, fares for the Opal public transport network in New South Wales are set to rise in 2025.

The increase will affect all modes of transport within the network, including buses, trains, ferries, metros, and light rails, impacting commuters across the state.

The Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART) proposed the price hike as part of its recommendations for fare adjustments. You can read more about it here.
Key Takeaways
  • Experts predict that grocery prices in Australia are unlikely to fall in 2025 amidst the ongoing cost of living crisis.
  • The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) is researching supermarket pricing strategies, with findings expected to be released in early 2025, which could influence pricing decisions.
  • Retail expert Gary Mortimer anticipates that supermarkets will focus on price stability and promotions, potentially offering significant discounts on specific items as a response to public sensitivity over pricing.
  • Despite a general rise in food prices, shopping apps like Frugl and market dynamics, such as the impact of US trade policies with China, could potentially yield short-term benefits for Australian consumers through discounted goods.
What strategies have you found effective in managing your grocery bills? Share your experiences and tips in the comments below, and let's help each other through these challenging times.
 

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Prices of many different types of products have been going up while the supermarkets have been under the microscope and it's not been restricted to things like cocoa and eggs that we know have been a problem. They are sneaking in small price hikes everywhere but they add up for the customers who have to buy several if the items and often going forward.
 
we have to relearn what we gave up COOKING! I make 15 scones in 20 mins from start to Finnish and little clean up ( 4 mins). cost $1.20 at retail prices, learn to make pancakes (similar price) gravy almost zero pan juices and water and flour and worcester sauce. biscuits ,for the price of a pkt I make 30 /40 cookies, and learn to toss your own salad, we are paying a fortune for our laziness (dont blame the supermarket) and dont blame the time, supermarkets are SELLING time to you by doing work you, if you want to save money re learn what you were once taught, and take a bag when you shop one of the most profitable lines all supermarkets carry are paper bags cost app 2/3 cents and save a fortune from the plastic they used to provide free (millions per store) no more...biggest con in history
 
Where does it say “$33.00 pay increase” do I need to go to specsavers or do you 🤣
Our esteemed PM, Albo, recently mandate a $33 pay increase. Do these sums, with rough estimates of the actual dollars, but the trend is clear.

Employee payrise $33 less tax = $24 in pocket
Employer expense $33 + super + payroll tax + workcover =~ $40
So a $24 in pocket increase is going to cost you something like $40, eventually.
 
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Our esteemed PM, Albo, recently mandate a $33 pay increase. Do these sums, with rough estimates of the actual dollars, but the trend is clear.

Employee payrise $33 less tax = $24 in pocket
Employer expense $33 + super + payroll tax + workcover =~ $40
So a $24 in pocket increase is going to cost you something like $40, eventually.
Maybe you should have included this information in your original post for the sake of clarity.

Just a tip....
 
we have to relearn what we gave up COOKING! I make 15 scones in 20 mins from start to Finnish and little clean up ( 4 mins). cost $1.20 at retail prices, learn to make pancakes (similar price) gravy almost zero pan juices and water and flour and worcester sauce. biscuits ,for the price of a pkt I make 30 /40 cookies, and learn to toss your own salad, we are paying a fortune for our laziness (dont blame the supermarket) and dont blame the time, supermarkets are SELLING time to you by doing work you, if you want to save money re learn what you were once taught, and take a bag when you shop one of the most profitable lines all supermarkets carry are paper bags cost app 2/3 cents and save a fortune from the plastic they used to provide free (millions per store) no more...biggest con in history
Exactly....
 
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Prices of many different types of products have been going up while the supermarkets have been under the microscope and it's not been restricted to things like cocoa and eggs that we know have been a problem. They are sneaking in small price hikes everywhere but they add up for the customers who have to buy several if the items and often going forward.
Cadbury Drinking Chocolate - same " best use before date" - is cheaper at The Reject Shop in the same Shopping Centre as a large Supermarket.
 
one item l bought the other day was $3.30, it said save$2.50. l don’t ever recall this biscuit costing $5.80 and have been buying it often
I notice there is some Manufacturers / Distributors increase their prices from 1st January every year. Therefore the supermarkets and other shops pass on the increase. I worked in the industry for just over 40 years and saw the new price lists come in. The Govt. doesn't worry about it as much as we are led to believe because they get more income from GST.
 
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