Hospital admissions for injuries directly attributable to extreme weather events – such as heatwaves, bushfires and storms – have increased in Australia over the past decade.

A new report from the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW) shows 9,119 Australians were hospitalised for injuries from extreme weather from 2012-22 and 677 people died from these injuries in the decade up to 2021.

In 2021-22, there were 754 injury hospitalisations directly related to extreme weather, compared to 576 in 2011-12.

Extreme heat is responsible for most weather-related injuries. Exposure to prolonged natural heat can result in physical conditions ranging from mild heat stroke, to organ damage and death.

As Australia heads into summer with an El Niño, it’s important to understand and prepare for the health risks associated with extreme weather.

A spike every three years​

Extreme weather-related hospitalisations have spiked at more than 1,000 cases every three years, with the spikes becoming progressively higher. There were:

• 1,027 injury hospitalisations in 2013–14
• 1,033 in 2016–17
• 1,108 in 2019–20.

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In each of these three years, extreme heat had the biggest impact on hospital admissions and deaths.

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Extreme heat accounted for 7,104 injury hospitalisations (78% of all injury hospitalisations) and 293 deaths (43% of all injury deaths) in the ten year period analysed.

In 2011-12, there were 354 injury hospitalisations directly related to extreme heat. This rose to 579 by 2021-22.

El Niño and La Niña​

Over the past three decades, extreme weather events have increased in frequency and severity.

In Australia, El Niño drives a period of reduced rainfall, warmer temperatures and increased bushfire danger.

La Niña, on the other hand, is associated with above average rainfall, cooler daytime temperatures and increased chance of tropical cyclones and flood events.

Although similar numbers of heatwave-related hospitalisations occurred in El Niño and La Niña years studied, the number of injuries related to bushfires was higher in El Niño years.

During the 2019–20 bushfires, in the week beginning January 5 2020, there were 1,100 more hospitalisations than the previous five-year average, an 11% increase.

Although El Niño hasn’t directly been proved as the cause for these three spikes, according to the Bureau of Meteorology, two of the three years (2016-17 and 2019-20) were El Niño summers. And the other year (2013-14) was the warmest neutral year on record at that time.

Regional differences​

Exposure to excessive natural heat was the most common cause leading to injury hospitalisation for all the mainland states and territories. From 2019 to 2022, there were 2,143 hospital admissions related to extreme heat, including:

• 717 patients from Queensland
• 410 from Victoria
• 348 from NSW
• 267 from South Australia
• 266 from Western Australia
• 73 from the Northern Territory
• 23 from the ACT
• 19 from Tasmania.

AIHW National Hospital Morbidity Database, CC BY

The report also includes state and territory data on hospitalisations related to extreme cold and storms.

During the ten-year period analysed, there were 773 injury hospitalisations and 242 deaths related to extreme cold. Extreme rain or storms accounted for 348 injury hospitalisations and 77 deaths.

From 2019 to 2022, there were 191 hospitalisations related to extreme cold, with Victoria recording the highest number (51, compared to 40 in next-placed NSW). During the same period there were 111 hospitalisations related to rain and storms, with 52 occurring in NSW and 28 in Queensland.

What about for bushfires?​

Over the ten-year period studied, there were 894 hospitalisations and 65 deaths related to bushfires.

Bushfire-related injury hospitalisations and deaths peaked in 2019–20, an El Niño year with 174 hospitalisations and 35 deaths. The two most common injuries that result from bushfires are smoke inhalation and burns.

During the 2019–20 bushfires, in the week beginning 5 January 2020 there were 1,100 more respiratory hospitalisations than the previous five-year average, an 11% increase.

The greatest increase in the hospitalisation rate for burns was 30% in the week beginning December 15 2019 — 0.8 per 100,000 persons (about 210 hospitalisations), compared with the previous 5-year average of 0.6 per 100,000 (an average of 155 hospitalisations).

Some people are particularly vulnerable​

Anyone can be affected by extreme weather-related injuries but some population groups are more at risk than others. This includes older people, children, people with disabilities, those with pre-existing or chronic health conditions, outdoor workers, and those with greater socioeconomic disadvantage.

People in these groups may have reduced capacity to avoid or reduce the health impacts of extreme weather conditions, for example older people taking medication may be less able to regulate their body temperature. “Thermal inequity” includes people living in poor quality housing who have difficulty accessing adequate heating and cooling.

For heat-related injuries between 2019–20 and 2021–22, people aged 65 and over were the most commonly admitted to hospital, followed by people aged 25–44.

Across age groups, men had higher numbers of heat related injury hospitalisations than women. This difference was most notable among those aged 25-44 and 45-64 years, where over twice as many men were hospitalised due to extreme heat as women.

We still don’t have a full picture​

The AIHW data only includes injuries which were serious enough for patients to be admitted to hospital; it doesn’t include cases where patients treated in an emergency department and sent home without being admitted.

It includes injuries that were directly attributable to weather-related events but does not include injuries that were indirectly related. For example, it doesn’t include injuries from road traffic accidents that occur due to wet weather, since the primary cause of injury would be recorded as “transport”.

Improved surveillance of weather-related injuries could help the health system and the community better prepare for responding to extreme weather conditions. For example, better data aids communities in predicting what resources will be needed during periods of extreme weather.

A more complete picture of injuries during weather events could also be used to inform people of actions they can take to protect their own health. Given a predicted hot summer, this could be a matter of life or death.

This article was first published on The Conversation, and was written by, Amy Peden, NHMRC Research Fellow, School of Population Health & co-founder UNSW Beach Safety Research Group, UNSW Sydney

 

[gbaerken]

How about we do that exercise for last 100 years.

 

[Joydie]

Nobody denies that the world APPEARS to be warming. However, nobody will ever convince me that this is caused by humans.

Also, the BOM simply cannot be relied upon to supply factual data. I was staggered to hear our local TV weatherman say a couple of weeks ago that the temperature that day had been the hottest since 'record keeping began 50 years ago'! What?! Did he think that ludicrous statement would just slip through and nobody would notice?

 

[gbaerken]

What the BOM did with previous records is criminal. The altered all historical data saying they were brining the temperatures recorded into line with the equipment currently used. The scientific community is corrupt, these people get grants from the Government that requires them to release statement that are not only downright misinformation but lies.

 

[Cyberchook]

Nobody denies that the world APPEARS to be warming. However, nobody will ever convince me that this is caused by humans.

Also, the BOM simply cannot be relied upon to supply factual data. I was staggered to hear our local TV weatherman say a couple of weeks ago that the temperature that day had been the hottest since 'record keeping began 50 years ago'! What?! Did he think that ludicrous statement would just slip through and nobody would notice?

I remember well like it was last year..the Xmas and Summer heat 70 years ago without any cooling other than hanging wet sheets on clotheshorses with a fan blowing on them to cool the stifling air. One year the 12 tall slender red taper candles in the crystal stars of mother's elegant and beautiful Xmas dinner (yes the hot turkey etc) table drooped and sagged outwards making us laugh. One thing I do recall is the southerly wind that more than often blew later in the day and how the windows were opened wide and we could all breathe again.
I hope the Southerly wind does come more than the Westerlies which are the worst.

 

[gbaerken]

 

[gbaerken]

 

[magpie1]

Lets hope that we can all get an 'undisturbed' flow of Electricity across the Country for those that may be affected by High heat conditions brought about by El Nino....this is now absolutely critical since our Government wants to move away from the use of fossilized fuels to control heating and cooling in our homes, business houses and work places.

 

[Joydie]

I remember well like it was last year..the Xmas and Summer heat 70 years ago without any cooling other than hanging wet sheets on clotheshorses with a fan blowing on them to cool the stifling air. One year the 12 tall slender red taper candles in the crystal stars of mother's elegant and beautiful Xmas dinner (yes the hot turkey etc) table drooped and sagged outwards making us laugh. One thing I do recall is the southerly wind that more than often blew later in the day and how the windows were opened wide and we could all breathe again.
I hope the Southerly wind does come more than the Westerlies which are the worst.

I grew up in Wingham, a notoriously hot little town. Very occasionally we had ice cream, maybe three times a year, but always in summer. Of course in the fifties, fridges and their funny little freezers weren't anywhere near as efficient as they are today. By the time Mum had dished up the ice cream it was almost melted. To this day, I still leave my ice cream to be semi melted before I eat it.

As to hot nights, Dad had the most beautiful blue couch lawn that was only ever mown with a push mower and treated like a baby. When our fibro home felt like a sauna at night, we'd all take our sheets and pillows out to the front lawn. It felt like sleeping on a cloud. Shame about the mozzies! When I see or smell a mosquito coil, it takes me back to those nights on the front lawn.