Aussies with mortgages brace for changes after crucial bank update

As the tides of the economy ebb and flow, homeowners must stay vigilant about changes that could impact their financial well-being.

In a recent development, two of Australia's leading banks have issued a warning that could have significant implications for Australians.


The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep its interest rates, currently at 4.35 per cent for the twelfth consecutive month.

This decision, which aligned with the central bank's battle against inflation, could dampen the hopes of those anticipating a rate cut in the near future.

Despite the RBA's downgraded expectations for the economy, the bank remains committed to cooling down an overheated Australian economy.


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Aussies with mortgages may have to hold out for a while before prices lower. Image Credit: Pexels/David Peterson


Some economists anticipated a shift from the RBA, which may show progress and provide updated economic forecasts.

However, the RBA's post-meeting statement suggested a more cautious approach and indicated that the bank is not yet ready to commit to any changes in its subsequent decision.

'While headline inflation has declined substantially and will remain lower for a time, underlying inflation is more indicative of inflation momentum, and it remains too high,' RBA board members wrote.


'While most of these are small changes, the forecasts do appear to have evolved in a more neutral direction than the rhetoric,' ANZ's Head of Australian Economics, Adam Boyton, shared.

Australia's Big Four banks, including NAB, predicted a potential rate cut in February, which may now unlikely happen.

NAB Senior Economist Taylor Nugent pointed out that the RBA would require a noticeable increase in unemployment in the following three employment updates before its February meeting to consider a rate cut.

According to the RBA's statement on monetary policy, unemployment rates in the country slightly adjusted its unemployment prediction to 4.5 per cent from 4.4 per cent.

However, Australia's job market stayed resilient, with a relatively low unemployment rate even amidst a surge in migration.


Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy praised the country's ability to absorb new workers into the employment market.

'It is easing now, but other countries, I mentioned a couple—Canada, New Zealand—saw this, and their labour market outcomes aren't nearly as good,' Secretary Kennedy shared in a senate hearing.

'To have seen these people flow into supply through employment and see the aggregate rate remain low is a great, excellent outcome.'

Treasurer Jim Chalmers also attributed the stability to the government's efforts to combat inflation without undermining economic growth or the labour market's gains.

However, Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor shared his concerns that Australia might be falling behind its peers.

'Everyone is helped by lower inflation and lower interest rates, and what we heard from the Reserve Bank yesterday is that interest rates are going to be higher for longer,' Treasurer Taylor said in an interview.


The debate over the impact of public spending, particularly on infrastructure projects, continues.

While infrastructure investment has been a positive indicator of economic activity, there have been differing opinions on how it could affect the workforce available for housing construction.

As we navigate through uncertain economic waters, keep a close eye on the RBA's moves and the broader financial landscape.

If these interest rates may affect your mortgage, it is recommended to speak to a financial advisor and explore market options.
Key Takeaways

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate at 4.35 per cent despite expectations of a shift in tone due to inflation progress.
  • ANZ and NAB economists shared their differing views on the RBA's stance, with forecasts hinting at a more neutral approach.
  • Updated forecasts from the RBA suggested 'welcome and encouraging progress in the fight against inflation' but indicated interest rates are expected to remain higher for longer.
  • Unemployment rates have been relatively low in Australia, which government officials viewed as a positive sign of economic resilience and effective policies.
Will you be affected by any of these changes? What are your thoughts about this concern? Join the conversation in the comments below.
 

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It only affects my savings account when the interest rates are down but with five kids with mortgages I would rather the interest rates go down.

I remember when I had my mortgage in the 80s We were paying 13.5% interest on our mortgage and we had friends paying 18% . Hopefully for our children's sake it never reaches that again
 
I don’t follow the RBA‘s reasoning for not cutting interest rates. If unemployment has to go up to get a rate cut it will mean less people will be able to get a mortgage or even afford rent. That in turn puts pressure on the govt coffers to pay unemployment benefits. I’m not the sharpest tool in the shed but it just doesn’t make sense to me. 🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️
 
I don’t follow the RBA‘s reasoning for not cutting interest rates. If unemployment has to go up to get a rate cut it will mean less people will be able to get a mortgage or even afford rent. That in turn puts pressure on the govt coffers to pay unemployment benefits. I’m not the sharpest tool in the shed but it just doesn’t make sense to me. 🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️
It also means more people who already have mortgages will not be able to afford them and will have to sell their house and will unlikely be able to find or afford a house to rent. Not helpful at all and I can't imagine where this is all going to end up. Nowhere good that is for sure when it is all talk and no action from the politicians as they clearly have not a clue how to fix this problem.
 
When I purchased my unit I was paying 17% interest. Now its 4.5% & people are complaining. Had to scrounge & save to pay the repayments. No flash car. 2nd hand furniture, but I kept up with my payments. People don't know how to save anymore.
 
It only affects my savings account when the interest rates are down but with five kids with mortgages I would rather the interest rates go down.

I remember when I had my mortgage in the 80s We were paying 13.5% interest on our mortgage and we had friends paying 18% . Hopefully for our children's sake it never reaches that again
I remember those days..... people were paying 18% on their mortgage while I was paying ZIP... Never paid interest on a mortgage. People asked me why I didn't pay off the mortgage. I used the banks money.....
 
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When I purchased my unit I was paying 17% interest. Now its 4.5% & people are complaining. Had to scrounge & save to pay the repayments. No flash car. 2nd hand furniture, but I kept up with my payments. People don't know how to save anymore.
I was in the same boat in 1986 when my first house cost $86700.

The problem is people today over-commit themselves, buy brand new everything all at once using borrowed funds only to shit themselves when interest rates rise 0.25%.

They deserve everything they cop....no forward planning at all.
 
Please explain?
You have a mortgage offset account equal to the mortgage, so you pay no interest on the mortgage and no tax on the money.
This may be difficult for people today who have $600,000 in a mortgage and live the life of Larry.
But on the other hand, they earn six-figure salaries and live accordingly.
I had no life at all just saved furiously. Lived the life of a pauper. I only earned $12,000 pa.
 
It only affects my savings account when the interest rates are down but with five kids with mortgages I would rather the interest rates go down.

I remember when I had my mortgage in the 80s We were paying 13.5% interest on our mortgage and we had friends paying 18% . Hopefully for our children's sake it never reaches that again
Our interest rate reached 17% in the 80's
 
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I also remember the days of 18% interest rates….i did need to sell my home and move to a small 2 bedroom Unit. Today though I own my own much larger Unit through selling my previous home (3rd home I bought on my own) just before the GFC hit in 2009….made 3 times as much as what I paid for it. I was a single parent when the 18% interest rate came in and it got too high for me to afford even though I bought all major items second hand….i always say to young people, DO NOT over commit on a mortgage as interest rates WILL go up…you need to have some wiggle room in your mortgage for when it does go up….buy a cheaper house which now I know is very difficult to do, however going back around 3yrs ago it wasn’t so difficult to find a cheaper home…you need to be prepared to do without a lot of luxuries for many years, however it’s worth it.
 
Why did you refer to the Shadow treasurer as Treasurer Taylor? He is not the Australian treasurer and his opinion is clearly politically biased. The reason we have an inflation problem is because of the massive cash boost the previous Government injected via job keeper and that was aggravated by a compliant RBA Governer making a ridiculous comment that interest rates would stay low for at least two years. I was astounded when a finance reporter attributed Woolworths increased profit to inflation so I shouldn't be surprised with a shadow treasurer being called Treasurer.
 
It only affects my savings account when the interest rates are down but with five kids with mortgages I would rather the interest rates go down.

I remember when I had my mortgage in the 80s We were paying 13.5% interest on our mortgage and we had friends paying 18% . Hopefully for our children's sake it never reaches that again
When we came back from New Zealand back in 84, we planned to live on the Peninsular for a couple of years and build a bit of equity and credit rating? which as I found out that if didn't' have a credit rating made it harder to get loans? which I thought strange that because I didn't have any debt, I was considered a bad risk? Bought the house 96 and got up in the Hawke/Keating's the bullshit we had to have and ended up paying up to 19%, and that stuffed any plans to move closer to the city. Since we are fortunate that we have great neighbours' we haven't moved. But like everybody that owns their own home? don't actually own as although we have the title we pay rent to the council, the amount of which is on a never ending upward spiral for very little actual benefit.
 
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Interest rates are not at anything other than normal levels, and they shouldn't fluctuate regularly.

Leaving them at normal levels might bring some sense into the housing market.

Leaving them stable may assist our exchange rate .

Like a lot of other comments I went through the 18.5% home loan rates and had to make a lot of sacrifices to get through those times.

If the youngsters of today were seriously doing it tough, we would not be seeing pop artists having to add extra concerts because of the excess demand for their $200 plus tickets.

Every time I read about extra concerts I say: "What cost of li ing crisis?"

To me it is an entitlement crisis.
 
When we came back from New Zealand back in 84, we planned to live on the Peninsular for a couple of years and build a bit of equity and credit rating? which as I found out that if didn't' have a credit rating made it harder to get loans? which I thought strange that because I didn't have any debt, I was considered a bad risk? Bought the house 96 and got up in Peacock's the bullshit we had to have and ended up paying up to 19%, and that stuffed any plans to move closer to the city. Since we are fortunate that we have great neighbours' we haven't moved. But like everybody that owns their own home? don't actually own as although we have the title we pay rent to the council, the amount of which is on a never ending upward spiral for very little actual benefit.
And I was paying up to 17-1/2% during Keating's reign - yes prices were lower but wages were even lower so it was a struggle and was saved on 2 occasions by the third payday that occurs in some months
 
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I was in the same boat in 1986 when my first house cost $86700.

The problem is people today over-commit themselves, buy brand new everything all at once using borrowed funds only to shit themselves when interest rates rise 0.25%.

They deserve everything they cop....no forward planning at all.
I brought a house in Perth when I lived there back in 1987, it cost $43,500, in 2010 I signed it over to my ex husband who then sold it for just under $500,000, a nice tidy profit, he then brought a new house to be left to our kids.
For the whole term of my loan I only paid $96 a week on the morgage, I brought it through a Government loan and never had the payments go up no matter what the interest rate was, I guess I lucked out..
 
I’m now on the pension,and my wife is on jobseeker. We have a mortgage. I had to use what was left in my super to keep our home. This uncertainty with interest rates is affecting my wife’s health. Unlike most of the younger people who took out huge mortgages we were lucky enough to have a smaller mortgage. Unfortunately we had to refinance our mortgage and although it’s not as big as most, it’s still a bit of a worry and like one of the other commenters said, you have to do without those little luxuries that you had before you bought your home.
 

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