‘It is a very close race’: New poll reveals a shocking election twist

Election season is heating up, and the latest poll numbers suggest a race that’s tighter than ever.

As political leaders gear up for a critical showdown, shifting voter sentiments and key approval ratings could play a decisive role in the outcome.

With the election date announcement imminent, the stakes have never been higher.


With the federal election fast approaching, the latest YouGov poll revealed a dramatic shift in voter sentiment, placing Labor and the Coalition neck and neck at 50-50 on a two-party preferred basis.

This marks a change from the previous poll, where Labor had a slight edge at 51 to 49 per cent, bolstered by its response to ex-tropical cyclone Alfred and support for Ukraine.

Despite the Coalition gaining ground, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese remained the preferred leader, leading Opposition Leader Peter Dutton 45 per cent to 40 per cent.


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Election race tightens as Coalition gains ground.


Paul Smith, YouGov’s director of public data, noted that Albanese’s personal approval could be a decisive factor in such a tight contest.

‘It is a very close race but the prime minister has now consolidated his lead as preferred leader and that is significant,’ he said.

The poll showed Labor’s primary vote remained steady at 31 per cent, while the Coalition rose by one point to 37 per cent.

The Greens and One Nation each dropped slightly, falling to 13 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively, while support for independents declined to 8 per cent.

Clive Palmer’s Trumpet of Patriots party remained at just 1 per cent, despite another round of heavy advertising.

Dutton saw an improvement in his satisfaction ratings, with 42 per cent of respondents approving of his performance and 47 per cent disapproving, giving him a net satisfaction of minus five per cent.

Albanese’s net satisfaction dropped to minus nine per cent, with 41 per cent of respondents expressing approval and 50 per cent dissatisfied with his leadership.


The polling results came just as Labor prepared to deliver the federal Budget, expected to show a deficit following consecutive surpluses.

This financial outlook led to speculation that the government might bypass the Budget altogether and go straight to an election.

However, the impact of Cyclone Alfred in Queensland and northern New South Wales delayed Albanese’s plans to visit the governor-general.

With the election required to be held by 17 May, Albanese was expected to call the poll in the days following the Budget.

The YouGov survey, conducted between 14 and 18 March, polled 1,500 Australians and had a margin of error of 3.4 per cent.


In a previous story, we explored Clive Palmer’s latest political push as he ramps up efforts ahead of the election.

With his Trumpet of Patriots party polling at just 1 per cent despite a costly advertising campaign, questions remain about its impact on the race.

Read more to see how Palmer’s bold strategy could shake up the election landscape.

Key Takeaways
  • The latest YouGov poll showed Labor and the Coalition tied at 50-50 on a two-party preferred basis.
  • Anthony Albanese remained the preferred prime minister over Peter Dutton, leading 45 per cent to 40 per cent.
  • Labor’s primary vote stayed at 31 per cent, while the Coalition rose to 37 per cent, with minor parties losing support.
  • The election must be held by 17 May, with Albanese expected to call it after the federal Budget.

With the election shaping up to be a tight contest, which issue do you think will sway voters the most? Let us know your thoughts in the comments.
 

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If it was desired to concoct a plan whereby successive generations of Australians would be severely compromised relative to their international rivals it would be difficult to go past a "net zero" strategy.
Such a strategy would forgo cheap 2nd generation coal-powered electricity generation in favour of "green" electricity generation producing an expensive and inadequate supply while having no effect on improving the climate.
The redirection of often borrowed investment funds away from manufacturing and innovation, and towards "green energy" vanity ideology will ensure that Australia will never be able to defend itself commercially or militarily, leaving the nation ripe for takeover by an aggressor who needs our land area and who invests in those areas in which Australia cannot now afford.
Cheap plentiful energy is fundamental to success and survival yet none within Australia's political spectrum will acknowledge and lead in this initiative.
 
If it was desired to concoct a plan whereby successive generations of Australians would be severely compromised relative to their international rivals it would be difficult to go past a "net zero" strategy.
Such a strategy would forgo cheap 2nd generation coal-powered electricity generation in favour of "green" electricity generation producing an expensive and inadequate supply while having no effect on improving the climate.
The redirection of often borrowed investment funds away from manufacturing and innovation, and towards "green energy" vanity ideology will ensure that Australia will never be able to defend itself commercially or militarily, leaving the nation ripe for takeover by an aggressor who needs our land area and who invests in those areas in which Australia cannot now afford.
Cheap plentiful energy is fundamental to success and survival yet none within Australia's political spectrum will acknowledge and lead in this initiative.
So with that long winded diatribe you haven’t offered an alternative to the clean, affordable energy.
 
Not the Liberal Party. They seem to be trending towards the Grump tactic of gathering a cult following, based on table thumping promises to right every wrong in 5 minutes.
Peter Dutton is saying that he will jump on the next plane out to the White House to pay homage to the 'Great One', but he doesn't actually say how he intends to negotiate with Presidents Trump and Musk, or what he might commit Australia to in the course of any talks.
That's after he's made a phone call to Netanyahu apologising for the current government's disrespect and lack of support for his war. a pledge that follows on from his trip to Israel last year, where he apparently had 'constructive talks' with the Israeli government. Again, no mention of the outcome of those talks and what Australia's commitment to Israel will be if he becomes Prime Minister.
Will the foreign affairs policy be: Wait to see which way the U.S. is heading?
 
Well Dutton and his mob would be bottom of my list. Nothing has changed since Morrison was in charge of them. Same principles, look after the rich and everyone else can pay.
your reply is so worthless. your remark of the rich is riddled with jealousy. the rich are charged tax wich goes to help pay for your expenses. think on before spouting, They are rich because they used their brains and now are entitled to be rich.
 
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Reactions: deni67
I have never ever voted for Labor!!!! and I never will, nor the crazy Greens or Teals/Ind. Each way Albo is a useless weak rat and so is his entire government. They have Australia in a big mess in just 3 years!!! BEEG MESS 🤬🤬 Everything in this beautiful country of ours, is out of control. You can't walk in Melbourne, its Indians and Chinese in their masses everywhere. And they push you out of the way. Horrible Horrible, thanks fkn Labor and Jacinta Allan!! 🤬 🤬 There is absolutely ZERO LAW AND ORDER IN VICTORIA. The scary part is, the idiots will still vote for them Labor !!!!!!!! look at WA !! 🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬 I will vote for the Coalition, One Nation, etc and put these Labor-Greens-Teal/Ind. last.

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