Cook by-election heats up as AEC stirs concerns over low turnout

As the Cook by-election looms this weekend, the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) has raised concerns about a potentially low voter turnout, which could have significant implications for the political landscape post-Scott Morrison.

The AEC has been tirelessly working to remind voters of the importance of casting their ballots, emphasising that every vote counts and that failing to participate could result in a fine.


The Cook by-election, triggered by former Prime Minister Scott Morrison's departure, is a critical moment for the constituents of this southern Sydney seat.

Despite the AEC's efforts, including sending out official guides to every household, advertising, and engaging with the public through social media and text messages, early voting numbers are troublingly low.


Screenshot 2024-04-12 073433.jpg
The AEC is worried about a possible low voter turnout for the Cook by-election following Scott Morrison's departure. Credits: Instagram / Scott Morrison


‘While by-elections traditionally have lower turnout than a full federal election, it's still below expectations, and just as important to have your say,’ Electoral Commissioner Tom Rogers stated.

‘The early voting numbers we're seeing are down by approximately 11.2 per cent based on the same period in the 2022 federal election, and nearly 13 per cent for the same period in the 2023 referendum in the division.’

‘Postal vote applications closed yesterday, and those numbers are down slightly as well.’

‘While it may be that more people vote on by-election day this time around, typically, if someone casts their vote early in one election, they'll do so in the next one—this is why the numbers we're seeing make us worry about low participation,’ he added.


As of the latest count, less than 18,500 residents have cast an early vote, a decrease from the 20,769 and 21,143 who voted early in the last federal election and the Voice to parliament referendum, respectively.

With just under 112,000 people enrolled to vote in Cook, the drop in early voting is a worrying sign of voter disengagement.

The AEC suggested that the low levels of political campaigning and media coverage could be contributing factors to the lackluster early voting turnout.

‘We've sent every Cook household an official guide, we're advertising, we're sending text messages and emails, we're also on social media regularly and in discussion with media representatives,’ Rogers pointed out.

‘While it is more communication for a single by-election than we've ever done, ultimately, we know that political campaigning activities and media coverage are always key vehicles for awareness and motivation.’

‘Failure to vote may result in a fine and will mean you have no say on who represents you in parliament,’ he continued.


In contrast to the recent by-elections in Melbourne's Aston and Dunkley, Cook has not seen the same level of political contestation.

The Liberal Party, which has held the seat since the 1970s, nominated management consultant Simon Kennedy as their candidate.

Meanwhile, the Labor Party opted not to field a candidate, which may have led to a perception that the outcome is a foregone conclusion.

Early voting centres are open until 6 pm today, April 12, and polling places will be open from 8 am to 6 pm on Saturday.

If you're unsure where to vote, the AEC website provides all the necessary information to find your nearest polling place.
Key Takeaways

  • The Australian Electoral Commission is concerned about a potentially low voter turnout in the Cook by-election to replace Scott Morrison.
  • Early voting numbers and postal vote applications are down compared to previous elections, leading to worries about low participation.
  • A comprehensive communication strategy is in place, including guides, advertising, and social media outreach, but political campaigning and media coverage are considered vital for voter awareness and turnout.
  • The Cook seat has been a safe Liberal seat since the 1970s, and while the Liberals have a candidate, Labor has not fielded one, indicating a political no-contest in this by-election.
Are you participating in the Cook-by elections? What do you think is the reason for the low voter turnout this year? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
 
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why vote for a govt that cannot stop lying and do not know inflation rates
they do know however how to increase their wages over double what the inflation rate is supposed to be
ALTHOUGH IT SEEMS ALL POLITICIANS MUST HAVE CREDENTIALS THAT THEY CAN LIE
ITS PART OF THEIR RESUME
 
why vote for a govt that cannot stop lying and do not know inflation rates
they do know however how to increase their wages over double what the inflation rate is supposed to be
ALTHOUGH IT SEEMS ALL POLITICIANS MUST HAVE CREDENTIALS THAT THEY CAN LIE
ITS PART OF THEIR RESUME
SCOMO WAS A THIEF AND LIAR OTHERWISE HOW DID HE MAKE 7 MILLION DOLLARS WHILE IN OFFICE
 
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We have a perception problem in Australia regarding the quality of our political representatives.
People - like me - may see that we have a revolving door of Labor + Greens and LNP every three years.
We have change of govt, yet nothing changes.

So it's disappointing to see our Prime Minister break his openly-stated promises.
It's disappointing to see a Prime minister spend $450 million on one side of a referendum campaign, without also spending a fair and equivalent amount on the opposite argument.
The perception is that a PM should be seen to be impartial. That dog doesn't hunt!

It's disappointing to be a pensioner, facing rising rents and costs of living, given $1.60/fortnight increase in the rental supplement.
It's disappointing to receive an increase in the aged pension of $13.60/fortnight.
Does the government think we cannot do simple arithmetic? The % increase in the aged pension (in my case) was 1.8%. Based on the CPI at the end of the December quarter; that means the CPI was 3.6%.
It's disappointing to realise that this is how stupid our governments think aged people are.

And it's disappointing to see politicians award themselves between $16k and $20k per annum pay rises over the past 3 years, while at the same time presiding over the mess our nation has descended into.
Yes I know about the Remuneration Tribunal.
But really ... does anyone seriously believe our govt should be getting pay rises, for the mess they have created?
They will be chucked out, yes, but will retain their pension entitlements, superannuation entitlements, and walk into lucrative Board positions with companies they have treated liberally while in office.

Surely that's corruption?
Well, isn't it?

In any case the rules say that former MP's must wait 18 months before accepting employment with companies who have any business to do with that MP's previous portfolios.
Risible!

We cannot house the people we have, but the stupidity of government decided it's a good thing to average an intake of 500,000 immigrants/year - many of whom hate our democracy, and refuse to assimilate/integrate.

It's disappointing to see out Foreign Minister making huge donations to what is essentially a proscribed Terrorist organisation, when at the same time, our long-time friend and ally, is fighting for their very existence.

So extrapolate this disappointment into a by-election.
Is anyone surprised that people have no interest in who it is, or which party's candidate actually wins this weekend? We all know it doesn't affect our quality of life, because they just-don't-care!

And as for the AEC - I know people who did not vote, and when they got "the letter" asking for the reason, just said they were sick on the day.
Nothing further said.
The AEC is as useless as an ashtray on a motorbike.
No.
People may not turn out to vote ... and can you blame them?
 
SCOMO WAS A THIEF AND LIAR OTHERWISE HOW DID HE MAKE 7 MILLION DOLLARS WHILE IN OFFICE
Well he held several portfolios - 9 I think.
The man was clever.
His income is boosted by those positiions.
But he has been well rewarded over his earlier time in the Public Service too.
And the Cook preselection debacle, where the Murdoch press spread lies and rumours about Scomo's opponent, Michael Towke, goes to show the cess pool of corruption going on behind the scenes. Morrison may or may not have been involved in that.
But he was the beneficiary.
 
I guess if you have limited funds to go around, it might be a strategically reasonable decision to not field a candidate in the Cook by-election if your consultations reveal it's just simply not worth the effort due to the voters persuasion over the past 50 years. Money and resources better spent elsewhere, for example QLD.

There would be people in the electorate disappointed with that decision, but just not enough.

Some participants in the Cook by-election who might have had an idea they wanted someone better than a rat-cunning, yet vision limited self-serving lying marketer to hold their electorate, may well have seen the ALP's decision to not turn up for it as a good enough reason of their own for not bothering to engage as indicated in the early voting low numbers as described by the AEC.
 
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I guess if you have limited funds to go around, it might be a strategically reasonable decision to not field a candidate in the Cook by-election if your consultations reveal it's just simply not worth the effort due to the voters persuasion over the past 50 years. Money and resources better spent elsewhere, for example QLD.

There would be people in the electorate disappointed with that decision, but just not enough.

Some participants in the Cook by-election who might have had an idea they wanted someone better than a rat-cunning, yet vision limited self-serving lying marketer to hold their electorate, may well have seen the ALP's decision to not turn up for it as a good enough reason of their own for not bothering to engage as indicated in the early voting low numbers as described by the AEC.
Well said.
 

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